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augusti 18, 2003
Crime mapping
Computer model forecasts crime sprees
Computer forecasts that predict where and when crimes will happen by analysing past patterns should help police channel resources where they are needed most. The technique, now under trial in the US, could be available for routine use within a year.
...
Wilpen Gorr, who is an expert on information systems and forecasting and heads the team, also looked for more subtle and unexpected trends. He compiled a list of leading indicators - minor offences such as vandalism and trespassing that crime analysts believe precede more serious crimes.
He then used a neural network to make connections that link changes in the pattern of these minor offences with changes in levels of more serious crimes. He found that if a minor crime such as vandalism increases during one month, it can indicate that there will be an increase in serious property crimes such as burglary in the following month.
Cloudy, With a Chance of Theft är en artikel om detta skriven av Wilpen Gorr.
Se Researchers Develop Crime Prevention Software för ett exempel på en brottskarta ("crime map").
Två PDF-filer:
Crime Hot Spot Forecasting: Modeling and Comparative Evaluation av Wilpen Gorr och Andreas Olligschlaeger .
Mapping Crime: Principle and Practice: Principle and Practices av Keith Harries: This guide introduces the science of crime mapping to police officers, crime analysts, and other people interested in visualizing crime data through the medium of maps.
Posted by hakank at augusti 18, 2003 08:01 FM Posted to Artificiell intelligens